Growth is expected to slowly ramp up over the year along with the availability of AI PCs, which will coincide with the beginning of a commercial refresh cycle in 2025.
“Commercial buyers, both enterprise and educational, are on the cusp of a refresh cycle that begins later this year and reaches its peak in 2025,” said says IDC’s Jitesh Ubrani.
Though commercial PCs will represent the majority of shipments, consumer purchases are also expected to return albeit at a slower pace.
Traditional PCs include Desktops, Notebooks, and Workstations and do not include Tablets or x86 Servers. Detachable Tablets and Slate Tablets are part of the Personal Computing Device Tracker but are not addressed in this press release.
Shipments include shipments to distribution channels or end users. OEM sales are counted under the company/brand under which they are sold.
| Worldwide Personal Computing Device Forecast by Product Category, Shipments, Year-Over-Year Growth, and 2024-2028 CAGR (shipments in millions) | |||||
| Category | 2024 Shipments | 2024/2023 Growth | 2028 Shipments | 2028/2027 Growth | 2024-2028 CAGR |
| Consumer | 119.3 | 0.8% | 128.9 | -0.2% | 2.0% |
| Public Sector (Edu+Govt) | 45.7 | 2.4% | 51.3 | 0.1% | 2.9% |
| Businesses | 100.4 | 3.3% | 112.1 | 1.6% | 2.8% |
| Total | 265.4 | 2.0% | 292.2 | 0.5% | 2.4% |
| Source: IDC Worldwide personal Computing Device Tracker, March 5, 2024 | |||||
